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<h2 class="hd hd-2 unit-title">Simulating a Cancer Megafund</h2>
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<h2 class="hd hd-2 unit-title">Simulations of Historical Investment Performance</h2>
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<h2 class="hd hd-2 unit-title">Modeling Correlations</h2>
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<h2 class="hd hd-2 unit-title">Interactive: The Binomial Distribution</h2>
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<p style="text-align: left;">The graph below shows the distribution of the number of successes of a portfolio of projects given independent project outcomes. The scenarios with at least <em>k</em> successes are shown in red, and the total probability of having at least <em>k</em> successes is reported at the top of the graph. What happens to this distribution as the probability of success for each project increases?</p>
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<h2 class="hd hd-2 unit-title">Exercise: Modeling Correlations</h2>
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Exercise: Modeling Correlations
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Consider a portfolio of 10 biomedical projects. Assume the probability of success for each project is 10%, and successes are statistically independent.</p>
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<li>What is the probability that at least 1 project is successful? (<i>Note</i>: Your answer should be a number in percentage form. Do not enter '%'.)
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<li> If successes are perfectly positively correlated, then what is the probability that at least 1 project is successful? (<i>Note</i>: Your answer should be a number in percentage form. Do not enter '%'.)
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<h2 class="hd hd-2 unit-title">Orphan Disease Portfolios</h2>
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<h2 class="hd hd-2 unit-title">Early-Stage Assets</h2>
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<h2 class="hd hd-2 unit-title">Existing Examples of Megafunds</h2>
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