<div class="xblock xblock-public_view xblock-public_view-vertical" data-block-type="vertical" data-graded="False" data-init="VerticalStudentView" data-runtime-version="1" data-has-score="False" data-usage-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@vertical+block@ps7" data-course-id="course-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer" data-request-token="ac42141a075311f095dc0e84ffb47eb3" data-runtime-class="LmsRuntime">
<h2 class="hd hd-2 unit-title">Problem set 7</h2>
<div class="vert-mod">
<div class="vert vert-0" data-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@html+block@ps7_hashpdf">
<div class="xblock xblock-public_view xblock-public_view-html xmodule_display xmodule_HtmlBlock" data-block-type="html" data-graded="False" data-init="XBlockToXModuleShim" data-runtime-version="1" data-has-score="False" data-usage-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@html+block@ps7_hashpdf" data-course-id="course-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer" data-request-token="ac42141a075311f095dc0e84ffb47eb3" data-runtime-class="LmsRuntime">
<script type="json/xblock-args" class="xblock-json-init-args">
{"xmodule-type": "HTMLModule"}
</script>
<p>You can download this pdf file from <a href="/assets/courseware/v1/1b92c54e728fda172f75aacc5475ac7c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/pdf_mit18_05_s22_ps7.pdf">here</a></p><iframe src="/assets/courseware/v1/1b92c54e728fda172f75aacc5475ac7c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/pdf_mit18_05_s22_ps7.pdf" width="100%" height="1000px"> </iframe>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="xblock xblock-public_view xblock-public_view-vertical" data-block-type="vertical" data-graded="False" data-init="VerticalStudentView" data-runtime-version="1" data-has-score="False" data-usage-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@vertical+block@ps7-checkvertical" data-course-id="course-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer" data-request-token="ac42141a075311f095dc0e84ffb47eb3" data-runtime-class="LmsRuntime">
<h2 class="hd hd-2 unit-title">Pset 7 problem checker</h2>
<div class="vert-mod">
<div class="vert vert-0" data-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-1-check">
<div class="xblock xblock-public_view xblock-public_view-problem xmodule_display xmodule_ProblemBlock" data-block-type="problem" data-graded="False" data-init="XBlockToXModuleShim" data-runtime-version="1" data-has-score="True" data-usage-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-1-check" data-course-id="course-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer" data-request-token="ac42141a075311f095dc0e84ffb47eb3" data-runtime-class="LmsRuntime">
<script type="json/xblock-args" class="xblock-json-init-args">
{"xmodule-type": "Problem"}
</script>
<div id="problem_ps7-1-check" class="problems-wrapper" role="group"
aria-labelledby="ps7-1-check-problem-title"
data-problem-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-1-check" data-url="/courses/course-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer/xblock/block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-1-check/handler/xmodule_handler"
data-problem-score="0"
data-problem-total-possible="0"
data-attempts-used="0"
data-content="
<h3 class="hd hd-3 problem-header" id="ps7-1-check-problem-title" aria-describedby="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-1-check-problem-progress" tabindex="-1">
Problem 1
</h3>
<div class="problem-progress" id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-1-check-problem-progress"></div>
<div class="problem">
<div>
<p>
To check your answers put them in the appropriate box and click the &#8216;Check' button. The checker can do arithmetic. So, 3^2, [mathjaxinline]5/3[/mathjaxinline] and [mathjaxinline]3*4[/mathjaxinline] are okay. </p>
<p>
Unless otherwise stated the checker expects numerical answers to 3 significant digits. </p>
<p>
For formulas you can use R notation. Remember to use a * for multiplication, i.e. [mathjaxinline]3*x[/mathjaxinline] <b class="bf">NOT </b> [mathjaxinline]3x[/mathjaxinline]. </p>
<p>
The checker knows many of the standard functions, e.g. use exp(x) and ln(x) for the exponential and natural log functions. </p>
<p>
The formula checker expects a specific letter for the variables, so be sure to use the ones specified. </p>
<p><b class="bf">1.</b> Give your answers to at least 3 significant digits. </p>
<p><b class="bf">(a)</b> With sober Monty, what is the posterior probability that Shelby will win if she switches? <div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 1" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-1-check_2_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-1-check_2_1" id="input_ps7-1-check_2_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-1-check_2_1" value="" class="math" size="50"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-1-check_2_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-1-check_2_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-1-check_2_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-1-check_2_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-1-check_2_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-1-check_2_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div> </p>
<p><b class="bf">(b)</b> With drunk Monty, what is the posterior probability that Shelby will win if she switches? <div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 2" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-1-check_3_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-1-check_3_1" id="input_ps7-1-check_3_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-1-check_3_1" value="" class="math" size="50"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-1-check_3_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-1-check_3_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-1-check_3_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-1-check_3_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-1-check_3_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-1-check_3_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div> </p>
<p><b class="bf">(c)</b> With maybe drunk Monty, what is the posterior probability that Shelby will win if she switches? <div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 3" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-1-check_4_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-1-check_4_1" id="input_ps7-1-check_4_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-1-check_4_1" value="" class="math" size="50"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-1-check_4_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-1-check_4_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-1-check_4_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-1-check_4_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-1-check_4_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-1-check_4_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div> </p>
</div>
<div class="action">
<input type="hidden" name="problem_id" value="Problem 1" />
<div class="submit-attempt-container">
<button type="button" class="submit btn-brand" data-submitting="Submitting" data-value="Submit" data-should-enable-submit-button="True" aria-describedby="submission_feedback_ps7-1-check" >
<span class="submit-label">Submit</span>
</button>
<div class="submission-feedback" id="submission_feedback_ps7-1-check">
<span class="sr">Some problems have options such as save, reset, hints, or show answer. These options follow the Submit button.</span>
</div>
</div>
<div class="problem-action-buttons-wrapper">
<span class="problem-action-button-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="save problem-action-btn btn-default btn-small" data-value="Save">
<span class="icon fa fa-floppy-o" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span aria-hidden="true">Save</span>
<span class="sr">Save your answer</span>
</button>
</span>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification warning notification-gentle-alert
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-exclamation-circle" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-1-check-problem-title">
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification warning notification-save
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-save" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-1-check-problem-title">None
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification general notification-show-answer
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-info-circle" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-1-check-problem-title">Answers are displayed within the problem
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
</div>
"
data-graded="False">
<p class="loading-spinner">
<i class="fa fa-spinner fa-pulse fa-2x fa-fw"></i>
<span class="sr">Loading…</span>
</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="vert vert-1" data-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2a-check">
<div class="xblock xblock-public_view xblock-public_view-problem xmodule_display xmodule_ProblemBlock" data-block-type="problem" data-graded="False" data-init="XBlockToXModuleShim" data-runtime-version="1" data-has-score="True" data-usage-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2a-check" data-course-id="course-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer" data-request-token="ac42141a075311f095dc0e84ffb47eb3" data-runtime-class="LmsRuntime">
<script type="json/xblock-args" class="xblock-json-init-args">
{"xmodule-type": "Problem"}
</script>
<div id="problem_ps7-2a-check" class="problems-wrapper" role="group"
aria-labelledby="ps7-2a-check-problem-title"
data-problem-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2a-check" data-url="/courses/course-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer/xblock/block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2a-check/handler/xmodule_handler"
data-problem-score="0"
data-problem-total-possible="0"
data-attempts-used="0"
data-content="
<h3 class="hd hd-3 problem-header" id="ps7-2a-check-problem-title" aria-describedby="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2a-check-problem-progress" tabindex="-1">
Problem 2a
</h3>
<div class="problem-progress" id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2a-check-problem-progress"></div>
<div class="problem">
<div>
<p><b class="bf">2(a).</b> Give your answers to at least three significant digits. Remember MITx understands scientific notation, i.e. 0.000321 = 3.21e-4. </p>
<p>
Give the prior predictive probability of a 7. <div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 1" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-2a-check_2_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-2a-check_2_1" id="input_ps7-2a-check_2_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-2a-check_2_1" value="" class="math" size="50"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-2a-check_2_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-2a-check_2_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-2a-check_2_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-2a-check_2_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-2a-check_2_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-2a-check_2_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div> </p>
<p>
Let [mathjaxinline]D_4[/mathjaxinline] be the hypothesis the chosen die is four-sided and likewise for [mathjaxinline]D_6[/mathjaxinline] etc. Give the posterior probability of each hypothesis. </p>
<p>
<p style="display:inline">[mathjaxinline]D_4[/mathjaxinline]: </p>
<div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 2" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-2a-check_3_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-2a-check_3_1" id="input_ps7-2a-check_3_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-2a-check_3_1" value="" class="math" size="50"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-2a-check_3_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-2a-check_3_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-2a-check_3_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-2a-check_3_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-2a-check_3_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-2a-check_3_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div>
</p>
<p>
<p style="display:inline">[mathjaxinline]D_6[/mathjaxinline]: </p>
<div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 3" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-2a-check_4_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-2a-check_4_1" id="input_ps7-2a-check_4_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-2a-check_4_1" value="" class="math" size="50"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-2a-check_4_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-2a-check_4_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-2a-check_4_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-2a-check_4_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-2a-check_4_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-2a-check_4_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div>
</p>
<p>
<p style="display:inline">[mathjaxinline]D_8[/mathjaxinline]: </p>
<div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 4" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-2a-check_5_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-2a-check_5_1" id="input_ps7-2a-check_5_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-2a-check_5_1" value="" class="math" size="50"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-2a-check_5_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-2a-check_5_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-2a-check_5_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-2a-check_5_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-2a-check_5_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-2a-check_5_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div>
</p>
<p>
<p style="display:inline">[mathjaxinline]D_{12}[/mathjaxinline]: </p>
<div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 5" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-2a-check_6_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-2a-check_6_1" id="input_ps7-2a-check_6_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-2a-check_6_1" value="" class="math" size="50"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-2a-check_6_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-2a-check_6_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-2a-check_6_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-2a-check_6_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-2a-check_6_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-2a-check_6_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div>
</p>
<p>
<p style="display:inline">[mathjaxinline]D_{20}[/mathjaxinline]: </p>
<div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 6" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-2a-check_7_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-2a-check_7_1" id="input_ps7-2a-check_7_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-2a-check_7_1" value="" class="math" size="50"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-2a-check_7_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-2a-check_7_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-2a-check_7_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-2a-check_7_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-2a-check_7_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-2a-check_7_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div>
</p>
</div>
<div class="action">
<input type="hidden" name="problem_id" value="Problem 2a" />
<div class="submit-attempt-container">
<button type="button" class="submit btn-brand" data-submitting="Submitting" data-value="Submit" data-should-enable-submit-button="True" aria-describedby="submission_feedback_ps7-2a-check" >
<span class="submit-label">Submit</span>
</button>
<div class="submission-feedback" id="submission_feedback_ps7-2a-check">
<span class="sr">Some problems have options such as save, reset, hints, or show answer. These options follow the Submit button.</span>
</div>
</div>
<div class="problem-action-buttons-wrapper">
<span class="problem-action-button-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="save problem-action-btn btn-default btn-small" data-value="Save">
<span class="icon fa fa-floppy-o" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span aria-hidden="true">Save</span>
<span class="sr">Save your answer</span>
</button>
</span>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification warning notification-gentle-alert
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-exclamation-circle" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-2a-check-problem-title">
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification warning notification-save
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-save" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-2a-check-problem-title">None
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification general notification-show-answer
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-info-circle" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-2a-check-problem-title">Answers are displayed within the problem
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
</div>
"
data-graded="False">
<p class="loading-spinner">
<i class="fa fa-spinner fa-pulse fa-2x fa-fw"></i>
<span class="sr">Loading…</span>
</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="vert vert-2" data-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2b-check">
<div class="xblock xblock-public_view xblock-public_view-problem xmodule_display xmodule_ProblemBlock" data-block-type="problem" data-graded="False" data-init="XBlockToXModuleShim" data-runtime-version="1" data-has-score="True" data-usage-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2b-check" data-course-id="course-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer" data-request-token="ac42141a075311f095dc0e84ffb47eb3" data-runtime-class="LmsRuntime">
<script type="json/xblock-args" class="xblock-json-init-args">
{"xmodule-type": "Problem"}
</script>
<div id="problem_ps7-2b-check" class="problems-wrapper" role="group"
aria-labelledby="ps7-2b-check-problem-title"
data-problem-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2b-check" data-url="/courses/course-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer/xblock/block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2b-check/handler/xmodule_handler"
data-problem-score="0"
data-problem-total-possible="0"
data-attempts-used="0"
data-content="
<h3 class="hd hd-3 problem-header" id="ps7-2b-check-problem-title" aria-describedby="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2b-check-problem-progress" tabindex="-1">
Problem 2b
</h3>
<div class="problem-progress" id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2b-check-problem-progress"></div>
<div class="problem">
<div>
<p><b class="bf">2(b) (general [mathjaxinline]n[/mathjaxinline])</b> To make your answers easier to enter, first give the total probability that the first [mathjaxinline]n[/mathjaxinline] rolls are all 7. We'll call this probability [mathjaxinline]T[/mathjaxinline]. Your answer should use the variable <tt class="tt">n</tt>. </p>
<p>
<p style="display:inline">[mathjaxinline]T =[/mathjaxinline] </p>
<div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 1" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-2b-check_2_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-2b-check_2_1" id="input_ps7-2b-check_2_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-2b-check_2_1" value="" class="math" size="70"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-2b-check_2_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-2b-check_2_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-2b-check_2_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-2b-check_2_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-2b-check_2_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-2b-check_2_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div>
</p>
<p>
Now enter the poster probabilities for each type of die. You should use [mathjaxinline]T[/mathjaxinline] for the total probability of the data ([mathjaxinline]n[/mathjaxinline] sevens in a row). </p>
<p>
<p style="display:inline">[mathjaxinline]P(D_4 |\text {data}) =[/mathjaxinline] </p>
<div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 2" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-2b-check_3_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-2b-check_3_1" id="input_ps7-2b-check_3_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-2b-check_3_1" value="" class="math" size="70"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-2b-check_3_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-2b-check_3_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-2b-check_3_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-2b-check_3_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-2b-check_3_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-2b-check_3_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div>
</p>
<p>
<p style="display:inline">[mathjaxinline]P(D_6 |\text {data}) =[/mathjaxinline] </p>
<div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 3" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-2b-check_4_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-2b-check_4_1" id="input_ps7-2b-check_4_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-2b-check_4_1" value="" class="math" size="70"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-2b-check_4_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-2b-check_4_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-2b-check_4_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-2b-check_4_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-2b-check_4_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-2b-check_4_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div>
</p>
<p>
<p style="display:inline">[mathjaxinline]P(D_8 |\text {data}) =[/mathjaxinline] </p>
<div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 4" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-2b-check_5_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-2b-check_5_1" id="input_ps7-2b-check_5_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-2b-check_5_1" value="" class="math" size="70"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-2b-check_5_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-2b-check_5_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-2b-check_5_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-2b-check_5_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-2b-check_5_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-2b-check_5_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div>
</p>
<p>
<p style="display:inline">[mathjaxinline]P(D_{12} |\text {data}) =[/mathjaxinline] </p>
<div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 5" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-2b-check_6_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-2b-check_6_1" id="input_ps7-2b-check_6_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-2b-check_6_1" value="" class="math" size="70"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-2b-check_6_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-2b-check_6_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-2b-check_6_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-2b-check_6_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-2b-check_6_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-2b-check_6_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div>
</p>
<p>
<p style="display:inline">[mathjaxinline]P(D_{20} |\text {data}) =[/mathjaxinline] </p>
<div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 6" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-2b-check_7_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-2b-check_7_1" id="input_ps7-2b-check_7_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-2b-check_7_1" value="" class="math" size="70"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-2b-check_7_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-2b-check_7_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-2b-check_7_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-2b-check_7_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-2b-check_7_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-2b-check_7_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div>
</p>
</div>
<div class="action">
<input type="hidden" name="problem_id" value="Problem 2b" />
<div class="submit-attempt-container">
<button type="button" class="submit btn-brand" data-submitting="Submitting" data-value="Submit" data-should-enable-submit-button="True" aria-describedby="submission_feedback_ps7-2b-check" >
<span class="submit-label">Submit</span>
</button>
<div class="submission-feedback" id="submission_feedback_ps7-2b-check">
<span class="sr">Some problems have options such as save, reset, hints, or show answer. These options follow the Submit button.</span>
</div>
</div>
<div class="problem-action-buttons-wrapper">
<span class="problem-action-button-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="save problem-action-btn btn-default btn-small" data-value="Save">
<span class="icon fa fa-floppy-o" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span aria-hidden="true">Save</span>
<span class="sr">Save your answer</span>
</button>
</span>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification warning notification-gentle-alert
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-exclamation-circle" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-2b-check-problem-title">
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification warning notification-save
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-save" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-2b-check-problem-title">None
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification general notification-show-answer
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-info-circle" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-2b-check-problem-title">Answers are displayed within the problem
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
</div>
"
data-graded="False">
<p class="loading-spinner">
<i class="fa fa-spinner fa-pulse fa-2x fa-fw"></i>
<span class="sr">Loading…</span>
</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="vert vert-3" data-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2blimit-check">
<div class="xblock xblock-public_view xblock-public_view-problem xmodule_display xmodule_ProblemBlock" data-block-type="problem" data-graded="False" data-init="XBlockToXModuleShim" data-runtime-version="1" data-has-score="True" data-usage-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2blimit-check" data-course-id="course-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer" data-request-token="ac42141a075311f095dc0e84ffb47eb3" data-runtime-class="LmsRuntime">
<script type="json/xblock-args" class="xblock-json-init-args">
{"xmodule-type": "Problem"}
</script>
<div id="problem_ps7-2blimit-check" class="problems-wrapper" role="group"
aria-labelledby="ps7-2blimit-check-problem-title"
data-problem-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2blimit-check" data-url="/courses/course-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer/xblock/block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2blimit-check/handler/xmodule_handler"
data-problem-score="0"
data-problem-total-possible="0"
data-attempts-used="0"
data-content="
<h3 class="hd hd-3 problem-header" id="ps7-2blimit-check-problem-title" aria-describedby="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2blimit-check-problem-progress" tabindex="-1">
Problem 2blimit
</h3>
<div class="problem-progress" id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2blimit-check-problem-progress"></div>
<div class="problem">
<div>
<p><b class="bf">2(b) (in the limit)</b> Give the posterior probability of each die in the limit as [mathjaxinline]n[/mathjaxinline] goes to infinity. We expect numerical answers that don't depend on [mathjaxinline]n[/mathjaxinline]. </p>
<p>
<p style="display:inline">[mathjaxinline]\displaystyle \lim _{n\to \infty }P(D_4 |\text {data}) =[/mathjaxinline] </p>
<div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 1" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-2blimit-check_2_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-2blimit-check_2_1" id="input_ps7-2blimit-check_2_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-2blimit-check_2_1" value="" class="math" size="50"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-2blimit-check_2_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-2blimit-check_2_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-2blimit-check_2_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-2blimit-check_2_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-2blimit-check_2_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-2blimit-check_2_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div>
</p>
<p>
<p style="display:inline">[mathjaxinline]\displaystyle \lim _{n\to \infty }P(D_6 |\text {data}) =[/mathjaxinline] </p>
<div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 2" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-2blimit-check_3_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-2blimit-check_3_1" id="input_ps7-2blimit-check_3_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-2blimit-check_3_1" value="" class="math" size="50"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-2blimit-check_3_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-2blimit-check_3_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-2blimit-check_3_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-2blimit-check_3_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-2blimit-check_3_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-2blimit-check_3_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div>
</p>
<p>
<p style="display:inline">[mathjaxinline]\displaystyle \lim _{n\to \infty }P(D_8 |\text {data}) =[/mathjaxinline] </p>
<div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 3" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-2blimit-check_4_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-2blimit-check_4_1" id="input_ps7-2blimit-check_4_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-2blimit-check_4_1" value="" class="math" size="50"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-2blimit-check_4_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-2blimit-check_4_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-2blimit-check_4_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-2blimit-check_4_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-2blimit-check_4_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-2blimit-check_4_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div>
</p>
<p>
<p style="display:inline">[mathjaxinline]\displaystyle \lim _{n\to \infty }P(D_{12} |\text {data}) =[/mathjaxinline] </p>
<div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 4" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-2blimit-check_5_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-2blimit-check_5_1" id="input_ps7-2blimit-check_5_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-2blimit-check_5_1" value="" class="math" size="50"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-2blimit-check_5_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-2blimit-check_5_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-2blimit-check_5_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-2blimit-check_5_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-2blimit-check_5_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-2blimit-check_5_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div>
</p>
<p>
<p style="display:inline">[mathjaxinline]\displaystyle \lim _{n\to \infty }P(D_{20} |\text {data}) =[/mathjaxinline] </p>
<div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 5" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-2blimit-check_6_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-2blimit-check_6_1" id="input_ps7-2blimit-check_6_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-2blimit-check_6_1" value="" class="math" size="50"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-2blimit-check_6_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-2blimit-check_6_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-2blimit-check_6_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-2blimit-check_6_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-2blimit-check_6_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-2blimit-check_6_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div>
</p>
</div>
<div class="action">
<input type="hidden" name="problem_id" value="Problem 2blimit" />
<div class="submit-attempt-container">
<button type="button" class="submit btn-brand" data-submitting="Submitting" data-value="Submit" data-should-enable-submit-button="True" aria-describedby="submission_feedback_ps7-2blimit-check" >
<span class="submit-label">Submit</span>
</button>
<div class="submission-feedback" id="submission_feedback_ps7-2blimit-check">
<span class="sr">Some problems have options such as save, reset, hints, or show answer. These options follow the Submit button.</span>
</div>
</div>
<div class="problem-action-buttons-wrapper">
<span class="problem-action-button-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="save problem-action-btn btn-default btn-small" data-value="Save">
<span class="icon fa fa-floppy-o" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span aria-hidden="true">Save</span>
<span class="sr">Save your answer</span>
</button>
</span>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification warning notification-gentle-alert
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-exclamation-circle" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-2blimit-check-problem-title">
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification warning notification-save
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-save" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-2blimit-check-problem-title">None
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification general notification-show-answer
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-info-circle" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-2blimit-check-problem-title">Answers are displayed within the problem
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
</div>
"
data-graded="False">
<p class="loading-spinner">
<i class="fa fa-spinner fa-pulse fa-2x fa-fw"></i>
<span class="sr">Loading…</span>
</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="vert vert-4" data-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2c-check">
<div class="xblock xblock-public_view xblock-public_view-problem xmodule_display xmodule_ProblemBlock" data-block-type="problem" data-graded="False" data-init="XBlockToXModuleShim" data-runtime-version="1" data-has-score="True" data-usage-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2c-check" data-course-id="course-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer" data-request-token="ac42141a075311f095dc0e84ffb47eb3" data-runtime-class="LmsRuntime">
<script type="json/xblock-args" class="xblock-json-init-args">
{"xmodule-type": "Problem"}
</script>
<div id="problem_ps7-2c-check" class="problems-wrapper" role="group"
aria-labelledby="ps7-2c-check-problem-title"
data-problem-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2c-check" data-url="/courses/course-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer/xblock/block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2c-check/handler/xmodule_handler"
data-problem-score="0"
data-problem-total-possible="0"
data-attempts-used="0"
data-content="
<h3 class="hd hd-3 problem-header" id="ps7-2c-check-problem-title" aria-describedby="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2c-check-problem-progress" tabindex="-1">
Problem 2c
</h3>
<div class="problem-progress" id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2c-check-problem-progress"></div>
<div class="problem">
<div>
<p><b class="bf">2(c)</b> We'll tell you that we can break the outcomes into three sets. Within each set the outcomes have equal probability. </p>
<p>
You should give each set as a comma separated list of integers. </p>
<p>
Give the set where each outcome has the greatest probability. <div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 1" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-2c-check_2_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-2c-check_2_1" id="input_ps7-2c-check_2_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-2c-check_2_1" value="" class="math" size="70"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-2c-check_2_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-2c-check_2_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-2c-check_2_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-2c-check_2_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-2c-check_2_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-2c-check_2_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div> </p>
<p>
Give the set where each outcome has the second greatest probability. <div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 2" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-2c-check_3_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-2c-check_3_1" id="input_ps7-2c-check_3_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-2c-check_3_1" value="" class="math" size="70"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-2c-check_3_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-2c-check_3_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-2c-check_3_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-2c-check_3_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-2c-check_3_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-2c-check_3_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div> </p>
<p>
Give the set where each outcome has the smallest probability. <div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 3" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-2c-check_4_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-2c-check_4_1" id="input_ps7-2c-check_4_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-2c-check_4_1" value="" class="math" size="70"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-2c-check_4_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-2c-check_4_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-2c-check_4_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-2c-check_4_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-2c-check_4_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-2c-check_4_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div> </p>
</div>
<div class="action">
<input type="hidden" name="problem_id" value="Problem 2c" />
<div class="submit-attempt-container">
<button type="button" class="submit btn-brand" data-submitting="Submitting" data-value="Submit" data-should-enable-submit-button="True" aria-describedby="submission_feedback_ps7-2c-check" >
<span class="submit-label">Submit</span>
</button>
<div class="submission-feedback" id="submission_feedback_ps7-2c-check">
<span class="sr">Some problems have options such as save, reset, hints, or show answer. These options follow the Submit button.</span>
</div>
</div>
<div class="problem-action-buttons-wrapper">
<span class="problem-action-button-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="save problem-action-btn btn-default btn-small" data-value="Save">
<span class="icon fa fa-floppy-o" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span aria-hidden="true">Save</span>
<span class="sr">Save your answer</span>
</button>
</span>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification warning notification-gentle-alert
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-exclamation-circle" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-2c-check-problem-title">
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification warning notification-save
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-save" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-2c-check-problem-title">None
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification general notification-show-answer
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-info-circle" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-2c-check-problem-title">Answers are displayed within the problem
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
</div>
"
data-graded="False">
<p class="loading-spinner">
<i class="fa fa-spinner fa-pulse fa-2x fa-fw"></i>
<span class="sr">Loading…</span>
</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="vert vert-5" data-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2d-check">
<div class="xblock xblock-public_view xblock-public_view-problem xmodule_display xmodule_ProblemBlock" data-block-type="problem" data-graded="False" data-init="XBlockToXModuleShim" data-runtime-version="1" data-has-score="True" data-usage-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2d-check" data-course-id="course-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer" data-request-token="ac42141a075311f095dc0e84ffb47eb3" data-runtime-class="LmsRuntime">
<script type="json/xblock-args" class="xblock-json-init-args">
{"xmodule-type": "Problem"}
</script>
<div id="problem_ps7-2d-check" class="problems-wrapper" role="group"
aria-labelledby="ps7-2d-check-problem-title"
data-problem-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2d-check" data-url="/courses/course-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer/xblock/block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2d-check/handler/xmodule_handler"
data-problem-score="0"
data-problem-total-possible="0"
data-attempts-used="0"
data-content="
<h3 class="hd hd-3 problem-header" id="ps7-2d-check-problem-title" aria-describedby="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2d-check-problem-progress" tabindex="-1">
Problem 2d
</h3>
<div class="problem-progress" id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2d-check-problem-progress"></div>
<div class="problem">
<div>
<p><b class="bf">2(d)</b> For this problem, you can use the letter T to stand for the same total probability found in part (b). This may simplify entering your formulas. </p>
<p>
There are 20 probabilities for this problem. We will only check five of them here. </p>
<p>
Give the formula in terms of n and T for each of the probabilities indicated. </p>
<p>
<p style="display:inline">[mathjaxinline]P(x_{n+1} = 4 |\text {data}) =[/mathjaxinline] </p>
<div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 1" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-2d-check_2_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-2d-check_2_1" id="input_ps7-2d-check_2_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-2d-check_2_1" value="" class="math" size="65"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-2d-check_2_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-2d-check_2_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-2d-check_2_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-2d-check_2_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-2d-check_2_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-2d-check_2_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div>
</p>
<p>
<p style="display:inline">[mathjaxinline]P(x_{n+1} = 6 |\text {data}) =[/mathjaxinline] </p>
<div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 2" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-2d-check_3_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-2d-check_3_1" id="input_ps7-2d-check_3_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-2d-check_3_1" value="" class="math" size="65"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-2d-check_3_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-2d-check_3_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-2d-check_3_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-2d-check_3_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-2d-check_3_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-2d-check_3_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div>
</p>
<p>
<p style="display:inline">[mathjaxinline]P(x_{n+1} = 8 |\text {data}) =[/mathjaxinline] </p>
<div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 3" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-2d-check_4_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-2d-check_4_1" id="input_ps7-2d-check_4_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-2d-check_4_1" value="" class="math" size="65"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-2d-check_4_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-2d-check_4_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-2d-check_4_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-2d-check_4_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-2d-check_4_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-2d-check_4_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div>
</p>
<p>
<p style="display:inline">[mathjaxinline]P(x_{n+1} = 12 |\text {data}) =[/mathjaxinline] </p>
<div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 4" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-2d-check_5_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-2d-check_5_1" id="input_ps7-2d-check_5_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-2d-check_5_1" value="" class="math" size="65"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-2d-check_5_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-2d-check_5_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-2d-check_5_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-2d-check_5_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-2d-check_5_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-2d-check_5_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div>
</p>
<p>
<p style="display:inline">[mathjaxinline]P(x_{n+1} = 20 |\text {data}) =[/mathjaxinline] </p>
<div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 5" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-2d-check_6_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-2d-check_6_1" id="input_ps7-2d-check_6_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-2d-check_6_1" value="" class="math" size="65"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-2d-check_6_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-2d-check_6_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-2d-check_6_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-2d-check_6_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-2d-check_6_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-2d-check_6_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div>
</p>
</div>
<div class="action">
<input type="hidden" name="problem_id" value="Problem 2d" />
<div class="submit-attempt-container">
<button type="button" class="submit btn-brand" data-submitting="Submitting" data-value="Submit" data-should-enable-submit-button="True" aria-describedby="submission_feedback_ps7-2d-check" >
<span class="submit-label">Submit</span>
</button>
<div class="submission-feedback" id="submission_feedback_ps7-2d-check">
<span class="sr">Some problems have options such as save, reset, hints, or show answer. These options follow the Submit button.</span>
</div>
</div>
<div class="problem-action-buttons-wrapper">
<span class="problem-action-button-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="save problem-action-btn btn-default btn-small" data-value="Save">
<span class="icon fa fa-floppy-o" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span aria-hidden="true">Save</span>
<span class="sr">Save your answer</span>
</button>
</span>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification warning notification-gentle-alert
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-exclamation-circle" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-2d-check-problem-title">
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification warning notification-save
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-save" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-2d-check-problem-title">None
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification general notification-show-answer
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-info-circle" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-2d-check-problem-title">Answers are displayed within the problem
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
</div>
"
data-graded="False">
<p class="loading-spinner">
<i class="fa fa-spinner fa-pulse fa-2x fa-fw"></i>
<span class="sr">Loading…</span>
</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="vert vert-6" data-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2e-check">
<div class="xblock xblock-public_view xblock-public_view-problem xmodule_display xmodule_ProblemBlock" data-block-type="problem" data-graded="False" data-init="XBlockToXModuleShim" data-runtime-version="1" data-has-score="True" data-usage-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2e-check" data-course-id="course-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer" data-request-token="ac42141a075311f095dc0e84ffb47eb3" data-runtime-class="LmsRuntime">
<script type="json/xblock-args" class="xblock-json-init-args">
{"xmodule-type": "Problem"}
</script>
<div id="problem_ps7-2e-check" class="problems-wrapper" role="group"
aria-labelledby="ps7-2e-check-problem-title"
data-problem-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2e-check" data-url="/courses/course-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer/xblock/block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2e-check/handler/xmodule_handler"
data-problem-score="0"
data-problem-total-possible="0"
data-attempts-used="0"
data-content="
<h3 class="hd hd-3 problem-header" id="ps7-2e-check-problem-title" aria-describedby="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2e-check-problem-progress" tabindex="-1">
Problem 2e
</h3>
<div class="problem-progress" id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-2e-check-problem-progress"></div>
<div class="problem">
<div>
<p><b class="bf">2(e)</b> As in part (d), there are 20 probabilities to check. We will only check 5 of them here. </p>
<p>
Give each of the probabilities indicated to 3 significant digits. </p>
<p>
<p style="display:inline">[mathjaxinline]\displaystyle \lim _{n\to \infty } P(x_{n+1} = 4 |\text {data}) =[/mathjaxinline] </p>
<div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 1" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-2e-check_2_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-2e-check_2_1" id="input_ps7-2e-check_2_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-2e-check_2_1" value="" class="math" size="50"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-2e-check_2_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-2e-check_2_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-2e-check_2_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-2e-check_2_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-2e-check_2_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-2e-check_2_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div>
</p>
<p>
<p style="display:inline">[mathjaxinline]\displaystyle \lim _{n\to \infty } P(x_{n+1} = 6 |\text {data}) =[/mathjaxinline] </p>
<div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 2" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-2e-check_3_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-2e-check_3_1" id="input_ps7-2e-check_3_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-2e-check_3_1" value="" class="math" size="50"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-2e-check_3_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-2e-check_3_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-2e-check_3_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-2e-check_3_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-2e-check_3_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-2e-check_3_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div>
</p>
<p>
<p style="display:inline">[mathjaxinline]\displaystyle \lim _{n\to \infty } P(x_{n+1} = 8 |\text {data}) =[/mathjaxinline] </p>
<div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 3" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-2e-check_4_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-2e-check_4_1" id="input_ps7-2e-check_4_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-2e-check_4_1" value="" class="math" size="50"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-2e-check_4_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-2e-check_4_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-2e-check_4_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-2e-check_4_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-2e-check_4_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-2e-check_4_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div>
</p>
<p>
<p style="display:inline">[mathjaxinline]\displaystyle \lim _{n\to \infty } P(x_{n+1} = 12 |\text {data}) =[/mathjaxinline] </p>
<div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 4" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-2e-check_5_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-2e-check_5_1" id="input_ps7-2e-check_5_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-2e-check_5_1" value="" class="math" size="50"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-2e-check_5_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-2e-check_5_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-2e-check_5_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-2e-check_5_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-2e-check_5_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-2e-check_5_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div>
</p>
<p>
<p style="display:inline">[mathjaxinline]\displaystyle \lim _{n\to \infty } P(x_{n+1} = 20 |\text {data}) =[/mathjaxinline] </p>
<div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 5" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-2e-check_6_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-2e-check_6_1" id="input_ps7-2e-check_6_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-2e-check_6_1" value="" class="math" size="50"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-2e-check_6_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-2e-check_6_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-2e-check_6_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-2e-check_6_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-2e-check_6_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-2e-check_6_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div>
</p>
</div>
<div class="action">
<input type="hidden" name="problem_id" value="Problem 2e" />
<div class="submit-attempt-container">
<button type="button" class="submit btn-brand" data-submitting="Submitting" data-value="Submit" data-should-enable-submit-button="True" aria-describedby="submission_feedback_ps7-2e-check" >
<span class="submit-label">Submit</span>
</button>
<div class="submission-feedback" id="submission_feedback_ps7-2e-check">
<span class="sr">Some problems have options such as save, reset, hints, or show answer. These options follow the Submit button.</span>
</div>
</div>
<div class="problem-action-buttons-wrapper">
<span class="problem-action-button-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="save problem-action-btn btn-default btn-small" data-value="Save">
<span class="icon fa fa-floppy-o" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span aria-hidden="true">Save</span>
<span class="sr">Save your answer</span>
</button>
</span>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification warning notification-gentle-alert
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-exclamation-circle" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-2e-check-problem-title">
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification warning notification-save
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-save" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-2e-check-problem-title">None
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification general notification-show-answer
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-info-circle" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-2e-check-problem-title">Answers are displayed within the problem
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
</div>
"
data-graded="False">
<p class="loading-spinner">
<i class="fa fa-spinner fa-pulse fa-2x fa-fw"></i>
<span class="sr">Loading…</span>
</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="vert vert-7" data-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-3-check">
<div class="xblock xblock-public_view xblock-public_view-problem xmodule_display xmodule_ProblemBlock" data-block-type="problem" data-graded="False" data-init="XBlockToXModuleShim" data-runtime-version="1" data-has-score="True" data-usage-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-3-check" data-course-id="course-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer" data-request-token="ac42141a075311f095dc0e84ffb47eb3" data-runtime-class="LmsRuntime">
<script type="json/xblock-args" class="xblock-json-init-args">
{"xmodule-type": "Problem"}
</script>
<div id="problem_ps7-3-check" class="problems-wrapper" role="group"
aria-labelledby="ps7-3-check-problem-title"
data-problem-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-3-check" data-url="/courses/course-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer/xblock/block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-3-check/handler/xmodule_handler"
data-problem-score="0"
data-problem-total-possible="0"
data-attempts-used="0"
data-content="
<h3 class="hd hd-3 problem-header" id="ps7-3-check-problem-title" aria-describedby="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-3-check-problem-progress" tabindex="-1">
Problem 3
</h3>
<div class="problem-progress" id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-3-check-problem-progress"></div>
<div class="problem">
<div>
<p><b class="bf">3.</b> Give all answers to at least 3 significant digits. If your answer is an exact fraction, e.g. 11/19, you can enter it that way. </p>
<p><b class="bf">3(a)</b> Give the prior odds of choosing a 0.3 coin. <div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 1" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-3-check_2_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-3-check_2_1" id="input_ps7-3-check_2_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-3-check_2_1" value="" class="math" size="50"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-3-check_2_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-3-check_2_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-3-check_2_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-3-check_2_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-3-check_2_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-3-check_2_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div> </p>
<p>
Give the prior odds of choosing a 0.7 coin. <div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 2" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-3-check_3_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-3-check_3_1" id="input_ps7-3-check_3_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-3-check_3_1" value="" class="math" size="50"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-3-check_3_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-3-check_3_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-3-check_3_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-3-check_3_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-3-check_3_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-3-check_3_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div> </p>
<p><b class="bf">3(b)</b> Give the prior odds of flipping a heads. <div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 3" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-3-check_4_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-3-check_4_1" id="input_ps7-3-check_4_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-3-check_4_1" value="" class="math" size="50"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-3-check_4_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-3-check_4_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-3-check_4_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-3-check_4_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-3-check_4_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-3-check_4_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div> </p>
<p><b class="bf">3(c)</b> Give the posterior odds you chose a 0.3 coin. <div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 4" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-3-check_5_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-3-check_5_1" id="input_ps7-3-check_5_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-3-check_5_1" value="" class="math" size="50"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-3-check_5_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-3-check_5_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-3-check_5_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-3-check_5_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-3-check_5_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-3-check_5_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div> </p>
<p>
Give the posterior odds you chose a 0.7 coin. <div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 5" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-3-check_6_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-3-check_6_1" id="input_ps7-3-check_6_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-3-check_6_1" value="" class="math" size="50"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-3-check_6_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-3-check_6_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-3-check_6_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-3-check_6_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-3-check_6_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-3-check_6_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div> </p>
<p><b class="bf">3(d)</b> Give the posterior predictive odds of heads on the second flip. <div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 6" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-3-check_7_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-3-check_7_1" id="input_ps7-3-check_7_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-3-check_7_1" value="" class="math" size="50"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-3-check_7_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-3-check_7_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-3-check_7_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-3-check_7_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-3-check_7_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-3-check_7_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div> </p>
</div>
<div class="action">
<input type="hidden" name="problem_id" value="Problem 3" />
<div class="submit-attempt-container">
<button type="button" class="submit btn-brand" data-submitting="Submitting" data-value="Submit" data-should-enable-submit-button="True" aria-describedby="submission_feedback_ps7-3-check" >
<span class="submit-label">Submit</span>
</button>
<div class="submission-feedback" id="submission_feedback_ps7-3-check">
<span class="sr">Some problems have options such as save, reset, hints, or show answer. These options follow the Submit button.</span>
</div>
</div>
<div class="problem-action-buttons-wrapper">
<span class="problem-action-button-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="save problem-action-btn btn-default btn-small" data-value="Save">
<span class="icon fa fa-floppy-o" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span aria-hidden="true">Save</span>
<span class="sr">Save your answer</span>
</button>
</span>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification warning notification-gentle-alert
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-exclamation-circle" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-3-check-problem-title">
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification warning notification-save
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-save" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-3-check-problem-title">None
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification general notification-show-answer
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-info-circle" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-3-check-problem-title">Answers are displayed within the problem
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
</div>
"
data-graded="False">
<p class="loading-spinner">
<i class="fa fa-spinner fa-pulse fa-2x fa-fw"></i>
<span class="sr">Loading…</span>
</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="vert vert-8" data-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-4-check">
<div class="xblock xblock-public_view xblock-public_view-problem xmodule_display xmodule_ProblemBlock" data-block-type="problem" data-graded="False" data-init="XBlockToXModuleShim" data-runtime-version="1" data-has-score="True" data-usage-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-4-check" data-course-id="course-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer" data-request-token="ac42141a075311f095dc0e84ffb47eb3" data-runtime-class="LmsRuntime">
<script type="json/xblock-args" class="xblock-json-init-args">
{"xmodule-type": "Problem"}
</script>
<div id="problem_ps7-4-check" class="problems-wrapper" role="group"
aria-labelledby="ps7-4-check-problem-title"
data-problem-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-4-check" data-url="/courses/course-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer/xblock/block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-4-check/handler/xmodule_handler"
data-problem-score="0"
data-problem-total-possible="0"
data-attempts-used="0"
data-content="
<h3 class="hd hd-3 problem-header" id="ps7-4-check-problem-title" aria-describedby="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-4-check-problem-progress" tabindex="-1">
Problem 4
</h3>
<div class="problem-progress" id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-4-check-problem-progress"></div>
<div class="problem">
<div>
<p>
<b class="bf">4(a)</b>
<em>No answer checker given.</em>
</p>
<p>
<b class="bf">4(b)</b>
<em>No answer checker given.</em>
</p>
</div>
<div class="action">
<input type="hidden" name="problem_id" value="Problem 4" />
<div class="submit-attempt-container">
<button type="button" class="submit btn-brand" data-submitting="Submitting" data-value="Submit" data-should-enable-submit-button="True" aria-describedby="submission_feedback_ps7-4-check" >
<span class="submit-label">Submit</span>
</button>
<div class="submission-feedback" id="submission_feedback_ps7-4-check">
<span class="sr">Some problems have options such as save, reset, hints, or show answer. These options follow the Submit button.</span>
</div>
</div>
<div class="problem-action-buttons-wrapper">
<span class="problem-action-button-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="save problem-action-btn btn-default btn-small" data-value="Save">
<span class="icon fa fa-floppy-o" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span aria-hidden="true">Save</span>
<span class="sr">Save your answer</span>
</button>
</span>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification warning notification-gentle-alert
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-exclamation-circle" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-4-check-problem-title">
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification warning notification-save
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-save" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-4-check-problem-title">None
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification general notification-show-answer
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-info-circle" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-4-check-problem-title">Answers are displayed within the problem
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
</div>
"
data-graded="False">
<p class="loading-spinner">
<i class="fa fa-spinner fa-pulse fa-2x fa-fw"></i>
<span class="sr">Loading…</span>
</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="vert vert-9" data-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-5-check">
<div class="xblock xblock-public_view xblock-public_view-problem xmodule_display xmodule_ProblemBlock" data-block-type="problem" data-graded="False" data-init="XBlockToXModuleShim" data-runtime-version="1" data-has-score="True" data-usage-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-5-check" data-course-id="course-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer" data-request-token="ac42141a075311f095dc0e84ffb47eb3" data-runtime-class="LmsRuntime">
<script type="json/xblock-args" class="xblock-json-init-args">
{"xmodule-type": "Problem"}
</script>
<div id="problem_ps7-5-check" class="problems-wrapper" role="group"
aria-labelledby="ps7-5-check-problem-title"
data-problem-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-5-check" data-url="/courses/course-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer/xblock/block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-5-check/handler/xmodule_handler"
data-problem-score="0"
data-problem-total-possible="0"
data-attempts-used="0"
data-content="
<h3 class="hd hd-3 problem-header" id="ps7-5-check-problem-title" aria-describedby="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-5-check-problem-progress" tabindex="-1">
Problem 5
</h3>
<div class="problem-progress" id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-5-check-problem-progress"></div>
<div class="problem">
<div>
<p><b class="bf">5.</b> Give the posterior odds Oscar is filling in for Emmy. (Give to at least 3 significant digits.) <div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 1" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-5-check_2_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-5-check_2_1" id="input_ps7-5-check_2_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-5-check_2_1" value="" class="math" size="50"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-5-check_2_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-5-check_2_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-5-check_2_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-5-check_2_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-5-check_2_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-5-check_2_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div> </p>
</div>
<div class="action">
<input type="hidden" name="problem_id" value="Problem 5" />
<div class="submit-attempt-container">
<button type="button" class="submit btn-brand" data-submitting="Submitting" data-value="Submit" data-should-enable-submit-button="True" aria-describedby="submission_feedback_ps7-5-check" >
<span class="submit-label">Submit</span>
</button>
<div class="submission-feedback" id="submission_feedback_ps7-5-check">
<span class="sr">Some problems have options such as save, reset, hints, or show answer. These options follow the Submit button.</span>
</div>
</div>
<div class="problem-action-buttons-wrapper">
<span class="problem-action-button-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="save problem-action-btn btn-default btn-small" data-value="Save">
<span class="icon fa fa-floppy-o" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span aria-hidden="true">Save</span>
<span class="sr">Save your answer</span>
</button>
</span>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification warning notification-gentle-alert
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-exclamation-circle" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-5-check-problem-title">
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification warning notification-save
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-save" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-5-check-problem-title">None
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification general notification-show-answer
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-info-circle" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-5-check-problem-title">Answers are displayed within the problem
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
</div>
"
data-graded="False">
<p class="loading-spinner">
<i class="fa fa-spinner fa-pulse fa-2x fa-fw"></i>
<span class="sr">Loading…</span>
</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="vert vert-10" data-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-6-check">
<div class="xblock xblock-public_view xblock-public_view-problem xmodule_display xmodule_ProblemBlock" data-block-type="problem" data-graded="False" data-init="XBlockToXModuleShim" data-runtime-version="1" data-has-score="True" data-usage-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-6-check" data-course-id="course-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer" data-request-token="ac42141a075311f095dc0e84ffb47eb3" data-runtime-class="LmsRuntime">
<script type="json/xblock-args" class="xblock-json-init-args">
{"xmodule-type": "Problem"}
</script>
<div id="problem_ps7-6-check" class="problems-wrapper" role="group"
aria-labelledby="ps7-6-check-problem-title"
data-problem-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-6-check" data-url="/courses/course-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer/xblock/block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-6-check/handler/xmodule_handler"
data-problem-score="0"
data-problem-total-possible="0"
data-attempts-used="0"
data-content="
<h3 class="hd hd-3 problem-header" id="ps7-6-check-problem-title" aria-describedby="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-6-check-problem-progress" tabindex="-1">
Problem 6
</h3>
<div class="problem-progress" id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-6-check-problem-progress"></div>
<div class="problem">
<div>
<p>
Give your answers correct to 3 significant digits. </p>
<p><b class="bf">6(a)</b> Give the mean of the posterior pdf. <div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 1" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-6-check_2_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-6-check_2_1" id="input_ps7-6-check_2_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-6-check_2_1" value="" class="math" size="50"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-6-check_2_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-6-check_2_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-6-check_2_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-6-check_2_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-6-check_2_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-6-check_2_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div> </p>
<p>
Give the variance of the posterior pdf. <div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 2" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-6-check_3_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-6-check_3_1" id="input_ps7-6-check_3_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-6-check_3_1" value="" class="math" size="50"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-6-check_3_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-6-check_3_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-6-check_3_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-6-check_3_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-6-check_3_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-6-check_3_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div> </p>
<p>
<b class="bf">6(b)</b>
<em>No answer checker given.</em>
</p>
<p><b class="bf">6(c)</b> Give the posterior expected values of their IQs. (Give to at least 3 significant digits.) </p>
<p>
<p style="display:inline">R. Vard: </p>
<div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 3" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-6-check_4_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-6-check_4_1" id="input_ps7-6-check_4_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-6-check_4_1" value="" class="math" size="50"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-6-check_4_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-6-check_4_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-6-check_4_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-6-check_4_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-6-check_4_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-6-check_4_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div>
</p>
<p>
<p style="display:inline">M. I. Taft: </p>
<div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 4" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-6-check_5_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-6-check_5_1" id="input_ps7-6-check_5_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-6-check_5_1" value="" class="math" size="50"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-6-check_5_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-6-check_5_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-6-check_5_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-6-check_5_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-6-check_5_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-6-check_5_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div>
</p>
</div>
<div class="action">
<input type="hidden" name="problem_id" value="Problem 6" />
<div class="submit-attempt-container">
<button type="button" class="submit btn-brand" data-submitting="Submitting" data-value="Submit" data-should-enable-submit-button="True" aria-describedby="submission_feedback_ps7-6-check" >
<span class="submit-label">Submit</span>
</button>
<div class="submission-feedback" id="submission_feedback_ps7-6-check">
<span class="sr">Some problems have options such as save, reset, hints, or show answer. These options follow the Submit button.</span>
</div>
</div>
<div class="problem-action-buttons-wrapper">
<span class="problem-action-button-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="save problem-action-btn btn-default btn-small" data-value="Save">
<span class="icon fa fa-floppy-o" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span aria-hidden="true">Save</span>
<span class="sr">Save your answer</span>
</button>
</span>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification warning notification-gentle-alert
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-exclamation-circle" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-6-check-problem-title">
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification warning notification-save
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-save" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-6-check-problem-title">None
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification general notification-show-answer
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-info-circle" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-6-check-problem-title">Answers are displayed within the problem
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
</div>
"
data-graded="False">
<p class="loading-spinner">
<i class="fa fa-spinner fa-pulse fa-2x fa-fw"></i>
<span class="sr">Loading…</span>
</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="vert vert-11" data-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-7-check">
<div class="xblock xblock-public_view xblock-public_view-problem xmodule_display xmodule_ProblemBlock" data-block-type="problem" data-graded="False" data-init="XBlockToXModuleShim" data-runtime-version="1" data-has-score="True" data-usage-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-7-check" data-course-id="course-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer" data-request-token="ac42141a075311f095dc0e84ffb47eb3" data-runtime-class="LmsRuntime">
<script type="json/xblock-args" class="xblock-json-init-args">
{"xmodule-type": "Problem"}
</script>
<div id="problem_ps7-7-check" class="problems-wrapper" role="group"
aria-labelledby="ps7-7-check-problem-title"
data-problem-id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-7-check" data-url="/courses/course-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer/xblock/block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-7-check/handler/xmodule_handler"
data-problem-score="0"
data-problem-total-possible="0"
data-attempts-used="0"
data-content="
<h3 class="hd hd-3 problem-header" id="ps7-7-check-problem-title" aria-describedby="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-7-check-problem-progress" tabindex="-1">
Problem 7
</h3>
<div class="problem-progress" id="block-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@problem+block@ps7-7-check-problem-progress"></div>
<div class="problem">
<div>
<p><b class="bf">7(a)</b> Give, as a comma separated list, the posterior odds the chosen die is 4-sided after rolls 1, 2, 3, 4, 5. You can enter these as exact fractions or as decimals to at least 3 significant digits. <div class="inline" tabindex="-1" aria-label="Question 1" role="group"><div id="inputtype_ps7-7-check_2_1" class="text-input-dynamath capa_inputtype inline textline">
<div class="text-input-dynamath_data inline" data-preprocessor="MJxPrep"/>
<div class="script_placeholder" data-src="/assets/courseware/v1/12474df7814ecb7a9a4088614ed78d4c/asset-v1:MITx+18.05r_10+2022_Summer+type@asset+block/MJxPrep.js"/>
<div class="unanswered inline">
<input type="text" name="input_ps7-7-check_2_1" id="input_ps7-7-check_2_1" aria-describedby="status_ps7-7-check_2_1" value="" class="math" size="70"/>
<span class="trailing_text" id="trailing_text_ps7-7-check_2_1"/>
<span class="status unanswered" id="status_ps7-7-check_2_1" data-tooltip="Not yet answered.">
<span class="sr">unanswered</span><span class="status-icon" aria-hidden="true"/>
</span>
<p id="answer_ps7-7-check_2_1" class="answer"/>
<div id="display_ps7-7-check_2_1" class="equation">`{::}`</div>
<textarea style="display:none" id="input_ps7-7-check_2_1_dynamath" name="input_ps7-7-check_2_1_dynamath"/>
</div>
</div></div> </p>
<p>
<b class="bf">7(b)</b>
<em>No answer checker given.</em>
</p>
</div>
<div class="action">
<input type="hidden" name="problem_id" value="Problem 7" />
<div class="submit-attempt-container">
<button type="button" class="submit btn-brand" data-submitting="Submitting" data-value="Submit" data-should-enable-submit-button="True" aria-describedby="submission_feedback_ps7-7-check" >
<span class="submit-label">Submit</span>
</button>
<div class="submission-feedback" id="submission_feedback_ps7-7-check">
<span class="sr">Some problems have options such as save, reset, hints, or show answer. These options follow the Submit button.</span>
</div>
</div>
<div class="problem-action-buttons-wrapper">
<span class="problem-action-button-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="save problem-action-btn btn-default btn-small" data-value="Save">
<span class="icon fa fa-floppy-o" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span aria-hidden="true">Save</span>
<span class="sr">Save your answer</span>
</button>
</span>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification warning notification-gentle-alert
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-exclamation-circle" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-7-check-problem-title">
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification warning notification-save
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-save" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-7-check-problem-title">None
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notification general notification-show-answer
is-hidden"
tabindex="-1">
<span class="icon fa fa-info-circle" aria-hidden="true"></span>
<span class="notification-message" aria-describedby="ps7-7-check-problem-title">Answers are displayed within the problem
</span>
<div class="notification-btn-wrapper">
<button type="button" class="btn btn-default btn-small notification-btn review-btn sr">Review</button>
</div>
</div>
</div>
"
data-graded="False">
<p class="loading-spinner">
<i class="fa fa-spinner fa-pulse fa-2x fa-fw"></i>
<span class="sr">Loading…</span>
</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>